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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000792

MQ-000792

Lorient v Paris FC · Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · UNDER · 52.3% · confidence 89
פגיעה
Fair price
1.91
Market price
1.85
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.3 percentage points
Generated
Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Published
Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Locked
Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC4add8…76e7
4add8ee5ddeea4ea8258af8e8f02cd2417696633b52c235a71f0ec07a19776e7
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 79,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jktv0082r6diqx5qzef5",
 "edge": 0.012847,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynp8n02injv04vhou3h9u",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.85,
 "modelProbability": 0.523429,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000792",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}
Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCfe536…7f87
fe53667236fc78ff6bc57c69352fea8a78da26ef1b2ff8be53ae56fb15017f87
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 79,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jktv0082r6diqx5qzef5",
 "edge": 0.012847,
 "fairOdds": 1.91,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmurynp8n02injv04vhou3h9u",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.85,
 "modelProbability": 0.523429,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000792",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 47.7% · UNDER 52.3%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-06 21:13Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-06 21:13Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.85
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.