MQ-000796
Monaco v Toulouse · Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.71
- Market price
- 1.58
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Published
- Tue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 6 Oct · 21:13 UTCb5560…dde2
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jwds00agr6di4i715sxp",
"edge": -0.011859,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynpgz02izjv04735kgiru",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.58,
"modelProbability": 0.584049,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000796",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC1058e…f9c8
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmux6jwds00agr6di4i715sxp",
"edge": -0.011859,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynpgz02izjv04735kgiru",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-06T21:13:45.306Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.58,
"modelProbability": 0.584049,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000796",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 58.4% · UNDER 41.6%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-06 21:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-06 21:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.58
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000796
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- 1.57
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.8 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
- Published
- Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
- Locked
- Sat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTCc4991…7eab
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv01e40x00a4r60xh9lf56pe",
"edge": -0.028284,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynpgz02izjv04735kgiru",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.570181,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000796.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000796",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSat 10 Oct · 16:32 UTCc1433…25cf
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv01e40x00a4r60xh9lf56pe",
"edge": -0.028284,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmurynpgz02izjv04735kgiru",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.57,
"modelProbability": 0.570181,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000796.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000796",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T16:32:06.278Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 57.0% · UNDER 43.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-08 21:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-08 21:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.57
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.