MQ-000802
Como v Roma · Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 10:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.91
- Market price
- 1.64
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 08:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 12:08 UTC57df9…f99a
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuy2goqb008ar6luovfnm1c7",
"edge": -0.052403,
"fairOdds": 1.91,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65i7y002wjx044tctfodf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.64,
"modelProbability": 0.524917,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000802",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 08:32 UTC0b07b…946f
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuy2goqb008ar6luovfnm1c7",
"edge": -0.052403,
"fairOdds": 1.91,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65i7y002wjx044tctfodf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T12:08:43.030Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.64,
"modelProbability": 0.524917,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000802",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T08:32:05.576Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.5% · UNDER 47.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 12:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 12:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.64
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000802
- Fair price
- 1.96
- Market price
- 1.62
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 7.1 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 8 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Thu 8 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 08:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 18:09 UTC7f045…128a
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuzurd2x0060r65yibg3vp75",
"edge": -0.070867,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65i7y002wjx044tctfodf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T18:09:01.091Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.62,
"modelProbability": 0.510528,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000802.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000802",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-08T18:09:01.091Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 08:32 UTC29864…0bd1
{
"confidenceScore": 91,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuzurd2x0060r65yibg3vp75",
"edge": -0.070867,
"fairOdds": 1.96,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65i7y002wjx044tctfodf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T18:09:01.091Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.62,
"modelProbability": 0.510528,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000802.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000802",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T08:32:05.576Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 51.1% · UNDER 48.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-08 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-08 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.62
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000802.v2
- Fair price
- 1.89
- Market price
- 1.60
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 5.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 08:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 12:10 UTC88f08…baad
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cuun6009ir6uq1859vua3",
"edge": -0.057165,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65i7y002wjx044tctfodf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.6,
"modelProbability": 0.529398,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000802.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000802.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 08:32 UTC1ecc4…2033
{
"confidenceScore": 75,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2cuun6009ir6uq1859vua3",
"edge": -0.057165,
"fairOdds": 1.89,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65i7y002wjx044tctfodf",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T12:10:57.413Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.6,
"modelProbability": 0.529398,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000802.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000802.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T08:32:05.576Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.9% · UNDER 47.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 12:10Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 12:10Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.60
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.