MQ-000816
Crystal Palace v Nott'm Forest · Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.78
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC018d5…3302
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfcjxv00j4r68kxycwzb7c",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65gnw001gjx04m4fkge8b",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.562054,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000816",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTCee2df…d23e
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfcjxv00j4r68kxycwzb7c",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65gnw001gjx04m4fkge8b",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.562054,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000816",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:02:06.222Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 56.2% · NO 43.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000816
- Fair price
- 1.75
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
- Published
- Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC7c2e6…8c55
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbw82800f2r6l8vifc2tji",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65gnw001gjx04m4fkge8b",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.573039,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000816.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000816",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC7d87b…57ca
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbw82800f2r6l8vifc2tji",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.75,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65gnw001gjx04m4fkge8b",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.573039,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000816.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000816",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:02:06.222Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 57.3% · NO 42.7%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-08 09:16Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-08 09:16Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000816.v2
- Fair price
- 1.78
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
- Published
- Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC4e4bb…faa1
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv13ytif00f5r6j3b21gns69",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65gnw001gjx04m4fkge8b",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.561239,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000816.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000816.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTCb1c3a…baa5
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv13ytif00f5r6j3b21gns69",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.78,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65gnw001gjx04m4fkge8b",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.561239,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000816.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000816.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:02:06.222Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 56.1% · NO 43.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-09 15:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-09 15:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.