MQ-000818
Lazio v Monza · Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 13:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.82
- Market price
- 1.87
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCd49a3…b3b0
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfcprk00l4r68k4r8hz3jm",
"edge": 0.042026,
"fairOdds": 1.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65ig10038jx04s1vtd4k8",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.87,
"modelProbability": 0.548622,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000818",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTCa8ff7…2a7a
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfcprk00l4r68k4r8hz3jm",
"edge": 0.042026,
"fairOdds": 1.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65ig10038jx04s1vtd4k8",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.87,
"modelProbability": 0.548622,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000818",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:02:06.222Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 54.9% · UNDER 45.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-07 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-07 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.87
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000818
- Fair price
- 1.82
- Market price
- 1.78
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 11 Oct · 06:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 11 Oct · 06:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 11 Oct · 06:09 UTC3401f…63ff
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv3fcfoq001dr62aoj7isoqr",
"edge": 0.019745,
"fairOdds": 1.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65ig10038jx04s1vtd4k8",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-11T06:09:56.939Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.78,
"modelProbability": 0.550088,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000818.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000818",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T06:09:56.939Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:02 UTC110e8…bfeb
{
"confidenceScore": 87,
"dataQualityScore": 76,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv3fcfoq001dr62aoj7isoqr",
"edge": 0.019745,
"fairOdds": 1.82,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmut65ig10038jx04s1vtd4k8",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-11T06:09:56.939Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 1.78,
"modelProbability": 0.550088,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000818.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000818",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:02:06.222Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 55.0% · UNDER 45.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-11 06:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-11 06:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.78
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.