PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000820

MQ-000820

FC Koln v M'gladbach · Bundesliga · Sun 11 Oct · 13:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 43.0% · confidence 88

בוטל

Fair price: 2.32
Market price: 1.99
Probability gap: 4.5 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCe1b05…f2d7

e1b05ef0b83eb0ee0f8ca8903b1c9b2b011d86ab002cb44d14a56dffa246f2d7

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfcvip00myr68k12joia97",
 "edge": -0.045217,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.99,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC95150…c744

951506b58cdab81961caca186f98bb1a0208b91c08bf07530fc64aa3bd3ec744

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfcvip00myr68k12joia97",
 "edge": -0.045217,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.99,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 43.0% · DRAW 27.0% · AWAY 30.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.99
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000820

1X2 · HOME · 47.2% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.12
Market price: 1.99
Probability gap: 0.2 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 09:16 UTC1576d…ee9c

1576d6ec8ccc9b763a3ee0271628d665d99b51a3ff1d99ab64bcb4ec4931ee9c

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbx9on00gwr6l8lugjsduv",
 "edge": -0.002408,
 "fairOdds": 2.12,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.99,
 "modelProbability": 0.472412,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTCbce2a…72c2

bce2a1ad4451c74975a89fbb6696798f35158bd231e2621e200272a2950172c2

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzbx9on00gwr6l8lugjsduv",
 "edge": -0.002408,
 "fairOdds": 2.12,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T09:16:31.392Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.99,
 "modelProbability": 0.472412,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 47.2% · DRAW 25.0% · AWAY 27.8%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 09:16Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.99
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000820.v2

1X2 · HOME · 43.0% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.32
Market price: 2.03
Probability gap: 3.7 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 15:10 UTC285c5…679a

285c538c54754ab8f86fdc4f6508e0051c75aab4e232f07ca6cd65867511679a

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzofepb00k4r6dadz4qohsa",
 "edge": -0.036882,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.03,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTCf6071…2f3e

f607144ccb6bb482273ed75764f53867843ee9a8fcc51d878119480e0b972f3e

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuzofepb00k4r6dadz4qohsa",
 "edge": -0.036882,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:10:59.262Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.03,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 43.0% · DRAW 27.0% · AWAY 30.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 15:10Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.03
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000820.v3

1X2 · HOME · 47.1% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.13
Market price: 2.03
Probability gap: 0.3 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 09:11 UTC951e2…d484

951e26c69ff7bf675737cce2ce48269b3c98c8279bd3ef03a5b843181053d484

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r1ks800e0r6a33r2o7tzz",
 "edge": 0.003214,
 "fairOdds": 2.13,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.03,
 "modelProbability": 0.470543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTCd10c4…70af

d10c4306b70d7e3d0819eebcbac8276f6af959b74d3f09bbd61c5fd51c5f70af

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv0r1ks800e0r6a33r2o7tzz",
 "edge": 0.003214,
 "fairOdds": 2.13,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T09:11:45.583Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.03,
 "modelProbability": 0.470543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 47.1% · DRAW 25.1% · AWAY 27.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.03
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000820.v4

1X2 · HOME · 45.9% · confidence 90 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.18
Market price: 2.06
Probability gap: 0.2 percentage points
Generated: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Published: Fri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 15:13 UTC57a79…5ab7

57a799e175e79e73e743cfd566cd24eacbcc8dfb5190aa7ed606d563e8075ab7

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13z6nt00h3r6j3oxc505wx",
 "edge": -0.001681,
 "fairOdds": 2.18,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.458964,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC8eba2…fdd2

8eba267af71845caa3af6441dd6cea9c23296063d95386c80adbb60ad67ffdd2

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv13z6nt00h3r6j3oxc505wx",
 "edge": -0.001681,
 "fairOdds": 2.18,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T15:13:49.571Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.458964,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 45.9% · DRAW 25.6% · AWAY 28.5%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-09 15:13Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.06
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000820.v5

1X2 · HOME · 43.0% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.32
Market price: 2.05
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC5f7ce…d68b

5f7ce799ccc06d8fd97013ff89380139434ae176dcb0cab2dcc8440c4138d68b

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n3b6x007vr6f06ptlb7nu",
 "edge": -0.031968,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.05,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC8b435…ebeb

8b435b4edfaeb38de5eff77eb3e6c3c5f9c70b537924e7c4fbdbfecf2b27ebeb

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n3b6x007vr6f06ptlb7nu",
 "edge": -0.031968,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.05,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 43.0% · DRAW 27.0% · AWAY 30.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 00:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 00:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.05
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000820.v6

1X2 · HOME · 47.1% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.13
Market price: 2.06
Probability gap: 1 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTCb6ad2…d049

b6ad29461288c798e30f1434119159a1f6f1ec3639236a2aeeb4e32e00ccd049

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26hdje00j4r65xibts60ic",
 "edge": 0.009898,
 "fairOdds": 2.13,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.470543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC1ae5e…cb6a

1ae5ee5959e0f871168b2945538b5b93246ff1f71fb0e006491753eb4c10cb6a

{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26hdje00j4r65xibts60ic",
 "edge": 0.009898,
 "fairOdds": 2.13,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.06,
 "modelProbability": 0.470543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 47.1% · DRAW 25.1% · AWAY 27.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.06
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000820.v7

1X2 · HOME · 43.0% · confidence 88 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.32
Market price: 2.05
Probability gap: 3.2 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 15:14 UTC48073…d132

48073b2bcac5c10cf025785c954702d70ba621d2a22b0f00f1138c564a6bd132

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2jf8c50071r6xiedhcllz4",
 "edge": -0.032085,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.05,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC22de6…021d

22de6b663c379ddf5f7c6453465d595de74264c755d5ba963160778f7d02021d

{
 "confidenceScore": 88,
 "dataQualityScore": 78,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2jf8c50071r6xiedhcllz4",
 "edge": -0.032085,
 "fairOdds": 2.32,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T15:14:32.307Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 2.05,
 "modelProbability": 0.430302,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 43.0% · DRAW 27.0% · AWAY 30.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 15:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 15:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H12_24
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.05
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000820.v8

1X2 · HOME · 47.1% · confidence 90 · reason: Official lineup

פגיעה

Fair price: 2.13
Market price: 1.96
Probability gap: 1.5 percentage points
Generated: Sun 11 Oct · 11:08 UTC
Published: Sun 11 Oct · 11:08 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 11 Oct · 11:08 UTC2b8ce…593e

2b8ce33946bf00dcc80ec180364eb73b1deccc26a7c232136234d59bc414593e

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv3q6wb800bgr66ynbim3h3r",
 "edge": -0.015287,
 "fairOdds": 2.13,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T11:08:18.882Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.96,
 "modelProbability": 0.470543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:08:18.882Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 11:32 UTC21bcd…a21e

21bcdcfa1688500ef1bfa3e1bb16194a1dd5d4c2273bcfef33e96ca01d24a21e

{
 "confidenceScore": 90,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv3q6wb800bgr66ynbim3h3r",
 "edge": -0.015287,
 "fairOdds": 2.13,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65jjs0044jx04nc31sqar",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T11:08:18.882Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.96,
 "modelProbability": 0.470543,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000820.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000820.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T11:32:02.699Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 47.1% · DRAW 25.1% · AWAY 27.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-11 11:08Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-11 11:08Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.96
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.