PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000834

MQ-000834

Betis v Osasuna · La Liga · Sun 11 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 52.9% · confidence 93

בוטל

Fair price: 1.89
Market price: 1.55
Probability gap: 8.1 percentage points
Generated: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Wed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordWed 7 Oct · 18:09 UTCaa9da…b296

aa9da66448d492177245eb9abc6915e7e5d18b78674390f8b0631df6a253b296

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfdrdr00vkr68kbmdcjamr",
 "edge": -0.081199,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65hnn002ejx043dr03929",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.529268,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000834",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 14:32 UTC2acc9…3856

2acc9a79afdecdd01d86e215a3f53752afcb4f3c6beb7b0daaba7147b9253856

{
 "confidenceScore": 93,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmuyfdrdr00vkr68kbmdcjamr",
 "edge": -0.081199,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65hnn002ejx043dr03929",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-07T18:09:04.849Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.55,
 "modelProbability": 0.529268,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000834",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T14:32:05.726Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-07 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.55
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000834

1X2 · HOME · 52.9% · confidence 92 · reason: Market price update

פגיעה

Fair price: 1.89
Market price: 1.49
Probability gap: 10.9 percentage points
Generated: Sun 11 Oct · 12:12 UTC
Published: Sun 11 Oct · 12:12 UTC
Locked: Sun 11 Oct · 14:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSun 11 Oct · 12:12 UTC52717…1aee

52717fd6c11ccb9aefe2a6751a93fdfc1bf562060a8414b8256d836cbba31aee

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv3sb4am003pr6tmvevwgzup",
 "edge": -0.109401,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65hnn002ejx043dr03929",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T12:12:08.532Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.49,
 "modelProbability": 0.529268,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000834.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000834",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T12:12:08.532Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Lock recordSun 11 Oct · 14:32 UTCaf540…99c9

af540b624610fad1d3506c747afad7c08f0ae366e78ac631017dd63d137e99c9

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv3sb4am003pr6tmvevwgzup",
 "edge": -0.109401,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmut65hnn002ejx043dr03929",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T12:12:08.532Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.49,
 "modelProbability": 0.529268,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000834.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000834",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T14:32:05.726Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.8% · AWAY 20.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-11 12:12Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-11 12:12Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H1_6
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.49
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.