PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000846

MQ-000846

Torino v Udinese · Serie A · Mon 12 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · UNDER · 50.1% · confidence 92

בוטל

Fair price: 2.00
Market price: 1.72
Probability gap: 4.9 percentage points
Generated: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Published: Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
Locked: Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTCb5b73…5e24

b5b73efe3b2af05442a404492456e34511786e97a5eabc0280c48a8522035e24

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01fv0700ksr60xmallc8ss",
 "edge": -0.048754,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.500984,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTCb7b5d…04af

b7b5db7da68b98e3599ada0968a3a070041fa5806400107a09eee7e2a62404af

{
 "confidenceScore": 92,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv01fv0700ksr60xmallc8ss",
 "edge": -0.048754,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.500984,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 49.9% · UNDER 50.1%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-08 21:14Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H72_PLUS
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.72
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000846

OU25 · OVER · 50.0% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.00
Market price: 2.10
Probability gap: 5 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC60996…72de

60996a4c7d366542e30589def9223091387a80b8039d9b9c420c4cb0d7f672de

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n4da600c1r6f0ts9ir9lc",
 "edge": 0.050174,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.500436,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTCdcbb2…ed99

dcbb2405889aa2dbd93e19fb15ab6290bf8955fc375bdb10f47aad437990ed99

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n4da600c1r6f0ts9ir9lc",
 "edge": 0.050174,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.500436,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 50.0% · UNDER 50.0%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 00:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 00:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.10
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000846.v2

OU25 · UNDER · 50.3% · confidence 76 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 1.99
Market price: 1.72
Probability gap: 4.7 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC
Locked: Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 09:11 UTC53e67…79cf

53e672d152a11fbc4807d30cc96ba041479d8a5108afdadfc8ec7a47448a79cf

{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26if4100nar65xu9wb5pi0",
 "edge": -0.046568,
 "fairOdds": 1.99,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.50317,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC69440…c069

6944083f73fd6a6c5bd827c1aaa33b511ac09165b8483e5785087ee9ebe3c069

{
 "confidenceScore": 76,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv26if4100nar65xu9wb5pi0",
 "edge": -0.046568,
 "fairOdds": 1.99,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T09:11:40.273Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.72,
 "modelProbability": 0.50317,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 49.7% · UNDER 50.3%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 09:11Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H48_72
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 1.72
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000846.v3

OU25 · OVER · 50.1% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh

בוטל

Fair price: 2.00
Market price: 2.11
Probability gap: 5.2 percentage points
Generated: Sat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC
Published: Sat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC
Locked: Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC8ba69…c8de

8ba6981c247f84dbd5334772074f9936cc23d0f9916e70d570ca766789bfc8de

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2w72ve0069r6ledd47luc8",
 "edge": 0.05196,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.11,
 "modelProbability": 0.501046,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC3e6d9…8dab

3e6d9f2a12a354f61a5a660f1d93d38bc638344f8ad0dbb8634fe0a55bb58dab

{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2w72ve0069r6ledd47luc8",
 "edge": 0.05196,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.11,
 "modelProbability": 0.501046,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 50.1% · UNDER 49.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-10 21:12Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-10 21:12Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H24_48
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.11
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000846.v4

OU25 · OVER · 50.1% · confidence 95 · reason: Market price update

פגיעה

Fair price: 2.00
Market price: 2.23
Probability gap: 7.4 percentage points
Generated: Mon 12 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Published: Mon 12 Oct · 18:09 UTC
Locked: Mon 12 Oct · 18:32 UTC
Model artifacts: 0168d70ef9af

Publication recordMon 12 Oct · 18:09 UTC815bd…a01a

815bda4a0b66b1b0c50e448d042619ac9ca87df963a48b795549342edd63a01a

{
 "confidenceScore": 95,
 "dataQualityScore": 97,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv5kgjcj0002r65uuy2rmztc",
 "edge": 0.07416,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T18:09:09.840Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.500895,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T18:09:09.840Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 18:32 UTC99599…6c85

995999f4bda8e8d2757f145a041789e6ae7ef702b6d6ed9c37abaff657246c85

{
 "confidenceScore": 95,
 "dataQualityScore": 97,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv5kgjcj0002r65uuy2rmztc",
 "edge": 0.07416,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuuujby202g8k104e5fnqyoy",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T18:09:09.840Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.23,
 "modelProbability": 0.500895,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000846.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000846.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T18:32:01.578Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector: OVER 50.1% · UNDER 49.9%
Model version: ens_v0.3
Feature version: f0.3
Calibration version: iso_v2
Calibration scope: league
Feature snapshot taken: 2026-10-12 18:09Z
Information cutoff: 2026-10-12 18:09Z
Data coverage: ADVANCED
Lead time: H0_1
Analysis standard: FULL
Price at lock: 2.23
Sources consulted: not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version: not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication: not yet recorded by this product

What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.