MQ-000850
Levante v Sevilla · La Liga · Mon 12 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 2.04
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
- Published
- Thu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordThu 8 Oct · 21:14 UTCd8e1c…3846
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv01g3wh00n4r60xi0m33t8a",
"edge": 0.061703,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuuujaur02fgk104a9f73ylq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.04,
"modelProbability": 0.527672,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000850",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 16:59 UTCa7318…85ee
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv01g3wh00n4r60xi0m33t8a",
"edge": 0.061703,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuuujaur02fgk104a9f73ylq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:14:49.994Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.04,
"modelProbability": 0.527672,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000850",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-12T16:59:14.403Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.8% · UNDER 47.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-08 21:14Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-08 21:14Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.04
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000850
- Fair price
- 1.90
- Market price
- 2.14
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 8.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Mon 12 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Mon 12 Oct · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Mon 12 Oct · 18:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 12 Oct · 18:09 UTC6db98…e35d
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv5kgw9r001zr65uj9fee2um",
"edge": 0.083001,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuuujaur02fgk104a9f73ylq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-12T18:09:09.840Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.14,
"modelProbability": 0.527157,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000850.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000850",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-12T18:09:09.840Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Lock recordMon 12 Oct · 18:32 UTC1acc4…3b3f
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 97,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv5kgw9r001zr65uj9fee2um",
"edge": 0.083001,
"fairOdds": 1.9,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuuujaur02fgk104a9f73ylq",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-12T18:09:09.840Z",
"market": "OU25",
"marketOdds": 2.14,
"modelProbability": 0.527157,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000850.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000850",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-12T18:32:01.578Z",
"selection": "OVER"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- OVER 52.7% · UNDER 47.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-12 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-12 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.14
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.