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🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000854

MQ-000854

Inter v Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 81.3% · confidence 65
בוטל
Fair price
1.23
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
Published
Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC1c90d…33ce
1c90dbf950be01a9ae7cf9b10ce802b1178829c8ce03b652abc67864696133ce
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwg4z00ber6uasn18pilk",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.23,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3gr02hjl5040t34ed9b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.812851,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000854",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC82eae…55a0
82eae4daa2eb37d1d9d5c73ddeb8382fceb82ec5529e0698df31b6bad4d855a0
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwg4z00ber6uasn18pilk",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.23,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3gr02hjl5040t34ed9b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.812851,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000854",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 81.3% · DRAW 12.8% · AWAY 5.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-09 21:15Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-09 21:15Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000854

1X2 · HOME · 81.3% · confidence 68 · reason: Market price update
החטאה
Fair price
1.23
Market price
1.25
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
6.2 percentage points
Generated
Sun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Published
Sun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC73ddc…fbda
73ddc943a5bc28d444d7772b949006c7f34dd7698a96a416d1d6ed40fb0efbda
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv4bmkq20018r6f9je2l2jqr",
 "edge": 0.061784,
 "fairOdds": 1.23,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3gr02hjl5040t34ed9b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.812851,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000854.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000854",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC54e48…cc1b
54e48dbf05309275848c926fe13ce28ae15ea5b069b5f6ade820ff08f2bbcc1b
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv4bmkq20018r6f9je2l2jqr",
 "edge": 0.061784,
 "fairOdds": 1.23,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3gr02hjl5040t34ed9b",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.25,
 "modelProbability": 0.812851,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000854.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000854",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 81.3% · DRAW 12.8% · AWAY 5.9%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-11 21:13Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-11 21:13Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.25
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.

Prediction proof MQ-000854 — Inter v Club Brugge KV · WinPIQ