WinPIQKnow Before You Pick.
Sign in
🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000855

MQ-000855

Viking FK v Bayern Munich · UEFA Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 19:00 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · AWAY · 58.8% · confidence 68
בוטל
Fair price
1.70
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
Published
Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC8ad21…7086
8ad21e5fa6911da703707322fe543aa09f04c3f2441b3d84c98233a567697086
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwjo900c5r6ua533zmb2q",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.588118,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTCe75cc…3774
e75cc9872e270cdb7b6fa655778e676a6ef71d1c600dbcadd62de678992b3774
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwjo900c5r6ua533zmb2q",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.588118,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 17.1% · DRAW 24.1% · AWAY 58.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-09 21:15Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-09 21:15Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H72_PLUS
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000855

1X2 · AWAY · 55.2% · confidence 65 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.81
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC
Published
Sat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC5f742…fe45
5f74238ae9d5379a2ee5807fc0bea82f71baa8d7b443fc98b1bda4e38b7bfe45
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2w7mma008br6leyb5fqwzu",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.552449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTCca633…f4de
ca633058fe04c9473206d385bc5843922efd47138f6a2cbde253f5827f0ff4de
{
 "confidenceScore": 65,
 "dataQualityScore": 16,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv2w7mma008br6leyb5fqwzu",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.552449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 19.6% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 55.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-10 21:12Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-10 21:12Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000855.v2

1X2 · AWAY · 55.2% · confidence 68 · reason: Market price update
בוטל
Fair price
1.81
Market price
1.08
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
32.5 percentage points
Generated
Sun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Published
Sun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTCa243a…1b7a
a243a4273c5d498b5e787d17fc4d1615d874e89356e997f2ad0f82980b1c1b7a
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv4bmojp001zr6f9b0i3gaov",
 "edge": -0.324806,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.552449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC81151…d866
81151668162413fe18e0f5063ba0a8f14ef73e6f6bdf8585888aefc13976d866
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv4bmojp001zr6f9b0i3gaov",
 "edge": -0.324806,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.08,
 "modelProbability": 0.552449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 19.6% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 55.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-11 21:13Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-11 21:13Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H24_48
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.08
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000855.v3

1X2 · AWAY · 54.2% · confidence 70 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.84
Market price
1.11
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
31.5 percentage points
Generated
Mon 12 Oct · 21:12 UTC
Published
Mon 12 Oct · 21:12 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordMon 12 Oct · 21:12 UTC7ed6a…3d4c
7ed6ac056f976aa0c7964b5efca49deebd12e6c53afdaa5160fbb2192fb63d4c
{
 "confidenceScore": 70,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv5r13tk000kr6bi0w3wpagp",
 "edge": -0.315035,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T21:12:57.967Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.11,
 "modelProbability": 0.54223,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-12T21:12:57.967Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC4500e…b7b4
4500ee6efb66c4db55d4d782da534bb7a561d9ed81770c8cbedfeaefb880b7b4
{
 "confidenceScore": 70,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv5r13tk000kr6bi0w3wpagp",
 "edge": -0.315035,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-12T21:12:57.967Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.11,
 "modelProbability": 0.54223,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 21.0% · DRAW 24.8% · AWAY 54.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-12 21:12Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-12 21:12Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.11
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000855.v4

1X2 · AWAY · 55.2% · confidence 68 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.81
Market price
1.10
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
30.6 percentage points
Generated
Tue 13 Oct · 09:10 UTC
Published
Tue 13 Oct · 09:10 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 13 Oct · 09:10 UTCb1e29…c558
b1e297fa42caa64879fbf14c89868aaf40c38240268bca7941bd214fdbfbc558
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv6gocpf000kr69pksqaov92",
 "edge": -0.30592,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-13T09:10:52.486Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.552449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T09:10:52.486Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC58b3e…2be2
58b3e931b801294f83d16cead10bd939dcb0a15f7207b2d1eec3fe03624d2be2
{
 "confidenceScore": 68,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv6gocpf000kr69pksqaov92",
 "edge": -0.30592,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-13T09:10:52.486Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.1,
 "modelProbability": 0.552449,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 19.6% · DRAW 25.2% · AWAY 55.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-13 09:10Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-13 09:10Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.10
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000855.v5

1X2 · AWAY · 54.2% · confidence 71 · reason: Model refresh
החטאה
Fair price
1.84
Market price
1.12
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
30.8 percentage points
Generated
Tue 13 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Published
Tue 13 Oct · 15:15 UTC
Locked
Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
Model artifacts
0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 13 Oct · 15:15 UTC10a1d…4b16
10a1d2e4c7697c7ae61b026636d771af048f5080fa681859a073bff11ff04b16
{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv6torqi000kr682fboem6fl",
 "edge": -0.30776,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-13T15:15:08.506Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.12,
 "modelProbability": 0.54223,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T15:15:08.506Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}
Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC084e9…19c0
084e93690b63b57cda4f7dc05957ed38a668b40c70ec478ed255801b565b19c0
{
 "confidenceScore": 71,
 "dataQualityScore": 31,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmv6torqi000kr682fboem6fl",
 "edge": -0.30776,
 "fairOdds": 1.84,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmuwbe3ui02i9l504nxjhtiwv",
 "generatedAt": "2026-10-13T15:15:08.506Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.12,
 "modelProbability": 0.54223,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000855.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000855.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
 "selection": "AWAY"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 21.0% · DRAW 24.8% · AWAY 54.2%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
global
Feature snapshot taken
2026-10-13 15:15Z
Information cutoff
2026-10-13 15:15Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
FULL
Price at lock
1.12
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.