MQ-000856
Galatasaray SK v Barcelona · UEFA Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
- Published
- Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC29438…393f
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 6,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwn5d00cur6uaqa3f0t4t",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3kl02hql5043wb2fpou",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.553282,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000856",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC3c4bb…33dd
{
"confidenceScore": 66,
"dataQualityScore": 6,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwn5d00cur6uaqa3f0t4t",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3kl02hql5043wb2fpou",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.553282,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000856",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 21.4% · DRAW 23.3% · AWAY 55.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-09 21:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-09 21:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000856
- Fair price
- 1.67
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 00:09 UTCa0dfe…3bd9
{
"confidenceScore": 65,
"dataQualityScore": 6,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n4tij00e9r6f0vy3lo1i4",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3kl02hql5043wb2fpou",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.597851,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000856.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000856",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC052e0…26c0
{
"confidenceScore": 65,
"dataQualityScore": 6,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv1n4tij00e9r6f0vy3lo1i4",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.67,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3kl02hql5043wb2fpou",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T00:09:26.631Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.597851,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000856.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000856",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 19.6% · DRAW 20.6% · AWAY 59.8%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 00:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000856.v2
- Fair price
- 1.81
- Market price
- 1.25
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 20.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Published
- Sun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 11 Oct · 21:13 UTCced13…1b15
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv4bmsgf002or6f9ah6r8s6g",
"edge": -0.202029,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3kl02hql5043wb2fpou",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.25,
"modelProbability": 0.552329,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000856.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000856.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC455b5…a0b6
{
"confidenceScore": 67,
"dataQualityScore": 21,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv4bmsgf002or6f9ah6r8s6g",
"edge": -0.202029,
"fairOdds": 1.81,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3kl02hql5043wb2fpou",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-11T21:13:41.141Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 1.25,
"modelProbability": 0.552329,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000856.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000856.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
"selection": "AWAY"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 20.2% · DRAW 24.6% · AWAY 55.2%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-11 21:13Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-11 21:13Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 1.25
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.