MQ-000859
Ath Madrid v Man United · UEFA Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.47
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
- Published
- Fri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 9 Oct · 21:15 UTC68285…9f9c
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwq9200dlr6uabqw24efr",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.47,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3nv02hwl504trd8z1g9",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.680405,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000859",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTCd30fa…cb50
{
"confidenceScore": 88,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv1gwq9200dlr6uabqw24efr",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.47,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3nv02hwl504trd8z1g9",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-09T21:15:14.293Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.680405,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000859",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 68.0% · NO 32.0%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-09 21:15Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-09 21:15Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000859
- Fair price
- 1.50
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Sat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC
- Published
- Sat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSat 10 Oct · 21:12 UTCcc857…3968
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2w7u1k0096r6ledzfqfuvf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.5,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3nv02hwl504trd8z1g9",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.668539,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000859.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000859",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTCc6dcc…5cee
{
"confidenceScore": 90,
"dataQualityScore": 65,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv2w7u1k0096r6ledzfqfuvf",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.5,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3nv02hwl504trd8z1g9",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-10T21:12:29.742Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.668539,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000859.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000859",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 66.9% · NO 33.1%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-10 21:12Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-10 21:12Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000859.v2
- Fair price
- 1.53
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Tue 13 Oct · 00:08 UTC
- Published
- Tue 13 Oct · 00:08 UTC
- Locked
- Tue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordTue 13 Oct · 00:08 UTCb30eb…0017
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv5xbj5e000wr6tvxehp7cfp",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.53,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3nv02hwl504trd8z1g9",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-13T00:08:55.345Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.655027,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000859.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000859.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T00:08:55.345Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Lock recordTue 13 Oct · 17:02 UTC22938…9854
{
"confidenceScore": 93,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmv5xbj5e000wr6tvxehp7cfp",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.53,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmuwbe3nv02hwl504trd8z1g9",
"generatedAt": "2026-10-13T00:08:55.345Z",
"market": "BTTS",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.655027,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000859.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000859.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-10-13T17:02:04.906Z",
"selection": "YES"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- YES 65.5% · NO 34.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- global
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-10-13 00:08Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-10-13 00:08Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.