WinPIQKnow Before You Pick.
Sign in
🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000137

MQ-000137

Freiburg v Werder Bremen · Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 13:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

1X2 · HOME · 48.2% · confidence 64
בוטל
Fair price
2.08
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTCc2a67…718f
c2a67186da8d636621503087f6d6a2d42eff78dac7048c14d56469186319718f
{
 "confidenceScore": 64,
 "dataQualityScore": 0,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezb201jzr66otkovqeue",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2.08,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.481534,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 48.2% · DRAW 26.0% · AWAY 25.9%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:42Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000137

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 81 · reason: Team history linked
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC33c41…0e4d
33c418db9853f17214e9ff13928a4f5029085fab2e1df27b98577a3397610e4d
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpivg0008dr6kh7lgzq527",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.514975,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.2% · AWAY 20.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:46Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000137.v2

1X2 · HOME · 51.5% · confidence 84 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
1.94
Market price
1.99
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
3.8 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC1afce…58a6
1afce76927bb4399e75158befb8791ca000efcf1388e851c312d2530a32258a6
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjj500ytr60vgv3fvkzz",
 "edge": 0.038039,
 "fairOdds": 1.94,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.99,
 "modelProbability": 0.514975,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.5% · DRAW 28.2% · AWAY 20.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.99
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3

1X2 · HOME · 55.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.82
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
5.8 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC7907b…7cb3
7907bf5eb37dccca7306aadf9acad12aa5ccb31e9afc5411bbd657ca8df87cb3
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelre4q00kpl104m3k3k8th",
 "edge": 0.058212,
 "fairOdds": 1.82,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.550373,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 55.0% · DRAW 17.9% · AWAY 27.1%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4

1X2 · HOME · 51.1% · confidence 83 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.96
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.9 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCe1342…cfdd
e1342214df31c2932dc183da671837177c92f3f25e2185663acf7e42ee7dcfdd
{
 "confidenceScore": 83,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepd2zv00jzr6xf3ts33hsa",
 "edge": 0.018531,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.511313,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.1% · DRAW 28.0% · AWAY 20.8%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5

1X2 · HOME · 55.3% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.81
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
6 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC6494f…1fa3
6494fc80d900eca9f35204fdc4036f9b617e0755b93124f9cda4a78899ba1fa3
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus7i4002pkz04h7w7zl24",
 "edge": 0.059557,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.552649,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 55.3% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 26.9%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

1X2 · HOME · 51.1% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.96
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.9 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTCf1d60…3f0d
f1d602b508b4c5f340c52f0a2ce08329ac63cbd11f0cfb33629f8e29d9193f0d
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbt5h0053r6ydnncpmvde",
 "edge": 0.01858,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.511313,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.1% · DRAW 28.0% · AWAY 20.8%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

1X2 · HOME · 55.3% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.81
Market price
1.93
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
6 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCd2038…3873
d2038c19ddb6d82f48de7b66c5df5054f0f445812e11381439c11ef948573873
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvnjt002xl804qh49uv21",
 "edge": 0.059916,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.93,
 "modelProbability": 0.552649,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 55.3% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 26.9%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.93
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

1X2 · HOME · 51.1% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.96
Market price
1.92
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.6 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCa6b57…6d4c
a6b57229c9a90a61e55b636a0366a228bb167727324500ca9056c27665ef6d4c
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yrmk0053r6c4pqrl0j9y",
 "edge": 0.015593,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.92,
 "modelProbability": 0.511313,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.1% · DRAW 28.0% · AWAY 20.8%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.92
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

1X2 · HOME · 55.3% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.81
Market price
1.92
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
5.7 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCe8bf0…7c16
e8bf06bd4a84723d65860f7ecf8258948cc58eb17075683acdf61a64be8d7c16
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbmb5002pjz04gekguz1n",
 "edge": 0.056929,
 "fairOdds": 1.81,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.92,
 "modelProbability": 0.552649,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 55.3% · DRAW 17.8% · AWAY 26.9%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.92
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10

1X2 · HOME · 51.1% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.96
Market price
1.92
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.5 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTCdcfc3…4bde
dcfc32472585dce41fd2088d2344f3d4e980fbf4e57fabc9181e35a9ed974bde
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfe9z5p0053r6w08mt948ww",
 "edge": 0.015238,
 "fairOdds": 1.96,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.92,
 "modelProbability": 0.511313,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.1% · DRAW 28.0% · AWAY 20.8%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.92
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 12 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11

1X2 · HOME · 52.9% · confidence 89 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.89
Market price
1.85
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.3 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 09:56 UTC52461…6c76
5246120954c947e2c3637666188d16c40a5c02e10481fa95a1142187709f6c76
{
 "confidenceScore": 89,
 "dataQualityScore": 65,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfmx4dd0017r6tkxhf0t6i0",
 "edge": 0.013301,
 "fairOdds": 1.89,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.85,
 "modelProbability": 0.528746,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.2",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T09:56:04.862Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 52.9% · DRAW 26.7% · AWAY 20.4%
Model version
ens_v0.2
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 09:56Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 09:56Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.85
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 13 · previous MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12

1X2 · HOME · 51.8% · confidence 95 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.93
Market price
1.83
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.3 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTCb540e…1319
b540e0208de3c8b6ca8a91bdce6bca137f2b5bc5a3b2acf50e2f51ca59131319
{
 "confidenceScore": 95,
 "dataQualityScore": 95,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsehmy004rr62vz2cplw9c",
 "edge": -0.003104,
 "fairOdds": 1.93,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "market": "1X2",
 "marketOdds": 1.83,
 "modelProbability": 0.518043,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12.v13",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000137.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "selection": "HOME"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
HOME 51.8% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 20.8%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.83
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.