MQ-000144
Napoli v Como · Serie A · Sun 30 Aug · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 1.71
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:42 UTC88acb…eb45
{
"confidenceScore": 64,
"dataQualityScore": 1,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpezhi01nxr66o7cmsq56o",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 1.71,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.584302,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:42:58.994Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 58.4% · DRAW 26.3% · AWAY 15.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:42Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000144
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- —
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- No market price to compare against.
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTCc312d…ac7c
{
"confidenceScore": 82,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpivmz00ajr6kheuuxnyr6",
"edge": null,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": null,
"modelProbability": 0.412926,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 31.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:46Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- not recorded for this prediction
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000144.v2
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 2.46
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 2.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Published
- Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC6d417…cbe1
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjr6012tr60vci2a9xkr",
"edge": 0.027168,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.46,
"modelProbability": 0.412926,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 31.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-28 08:56Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H48_72
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.46
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 4 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.51
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCf1d56…55ba
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrfn100nbl104x7sgzf1y",
"edge": 0.061619,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.51,
"modelProbability": 0.439942,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 23.9% · AWAY 32.1%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 16:36Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.51
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 5 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 2.52
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCebe87…2c42
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtepf2cn00ntr6xf5rz7utw9",
"edge": 0.035927,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.52,
"modelProbability": 0.412926,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 31.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 18:15Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.52
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 6 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.52
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCdf1c7…68ce
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmteus8ur0053kz04he2guxqz",
"edge": 0.062227,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.52,
"modelProbability": 0.439605,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 23.8% · AWAY 32.2%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 20:48Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.52
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 7 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 2.52
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC9beee…38a7
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtewc3pe009jr6ydejp04nxk",
"edge": 0.03594,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.52,
"modelProbability": 0.412926,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 31.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 21:31Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.52
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 8 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.52
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.3 percentage points
- Generated
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Published
- Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTCcd4a4…adb9
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvoti005jl804wm69wkni",
"edge": 0.063371,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.52,
"modelProbability": 0.440357,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 23.7% · AWAY 32.2%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-29 23:11Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.52
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 9 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 2.53
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC0cbd0…c640
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1z1ic009jr6c4esjhduzz",
"edge": 0.037283,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.53,
"modelProbability": 0.412926,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 31.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 00:09Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H12_24
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.53
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 10 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9
- Fair price
- 2.27
- Market price
- 2.54
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 6.6 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCc1253…9e8c
{
"confidenceScore": 80,
"dataQualityScore": 35,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbntf005bjz04dh6pd8r5",
"edge": 0.066013,
"fairOdds": 2.27,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.54,
"modelProbability": 0.440357,
"modelVersion": "mock_v0",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 44.0% · DRAW 23.7% · AWAY 32.2%
- Model version
- mock_v0
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- none
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 04:59Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.54
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 11 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10
- Fair price
- 2.42
- Market price
- 2.52
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3.5 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC7c768…dfd6
{
"confidenceScore": 85,
"dataQualityScore": 50,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtfea9mf00a1r6w0f86x25si",
"edge": 0.035171,
"fairOdds": 2.42,
"featureVersion": "f0.1",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.52,
"modelProbability": 0.412926,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 41.3% · DRAW 27.4% · AWAY 31.3%
- Model version
- ens_v0.1
- Feature version
- f0.1
- Calibration version
- iso_v1
- Calibration scope
- not recorded for this prediction
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 05:54Z
- Information cutoff
- not recorded for this prediction
- Data coverage
- not recorded for this prediction
- Lead time
- H6_12
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.52
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 12 · previous MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.51
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.4 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 30 Aug · 16:02 UTC
- Published
- Sun 30 Aug · 16:02 UTC
- Locked
- —
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 16:02 UTCf7670…1f29
{
"confidenceScore": 92,
"dataQualityScore": 80,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtg0d7j6000gr6357groh8tw",
"edge": 0.044062,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
"generatedAt": "2026-08-30T16:02:24.592Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.51,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11.v12",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000144.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
"publishedAt": "2026-08-30T16:02:24.592Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-08-30 16:02Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-08-30 16:02Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H0_1
- Analysis standard
- not recorded for this prediction
- Price at lock
- 2.51
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.