WinPIQKnow Before You Pick.
Sign in
🇺🇸 Showing content for United States · by location · Change21+ only · analysis and probability estimates, not financial advice · help: 1-800-GAMBLER
PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000194

MQ-000194

Freiburg v Werder Bremen · Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 13:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

BTTS · YES · 57.3% · confidence 81
בוטל
Fair price
1.74
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTCe33a4…e4ff
e33a48ddb6432ff43055a60810f57a9d05bf51b4acb0cc355224762ebf46e4ff
{
 "confidenceScore": 81,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpivg0008dr6kh7lgzq527",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.573099,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 57.3% · NO 42.7%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:46Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000194

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC6ec59…90ea
6ec59c1469730603cd728bb855272dbf146821fa67f86cc9045345c5d96490ea
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelre4q00kpl104m3k3k8th",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000194.v2

BTTS · YES · 57.0% · confidence 83 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.75
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTCfa4ff…1186
fa4ff0e5053a980bc9a77442b7b05bd3115de20cc7faf85bd84a2181d87a1186
{
 "confidenceScore": 83,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepd2zv00jzr6xf3ts33hsa",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.75,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.570343,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 57.0% · NO 43.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000194.v2.v3

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC5a7a3…24d0
5a7a38067e26df99e562de128956d4c11f503acf87c18a923e08495075cc24d0
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus7i4002pkz04h7w7zl24",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4

BTTS · YES · 56.7% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.76
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC83fd6…aaaa
83fd6218eb54ee0a31599ce63638a4108c47f604b91e7b278ac6919af886aaaa
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewbt5h0053r6ydnncpmvde",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.76,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.567314,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 56.7% · NO 43.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC8e24e…069e
8e24e51ba54890cbb7cdb88241389151078bb716ca5d3e8cb6faf5cba3bc069e
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvnjt002xl804qh49uv21",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

BTTS · YES · 56.7% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.76
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC40e3a…915e
40e3aabc7a5f6d87bcbc966c4160275af9dd998212d8030f76a30e9a9efe915e
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1yrmk0053r6c4pqrl0j9y",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.76,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.567338,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 56.7% · NO 43.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

BTTS · YES · 50.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
2.00
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC30866…d34f
30866cf4ed0af6eaf2361b926e9436971bd698747dc99a9d3a0caee5ade3d34f
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbmb5002pjz04gekguz1n",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 2,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.5,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 50.0% · NO 50.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

BTTS · YES · 56.7% · confidence 84 · reason: Model refresh
פגיעה
Fair price
1.76
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC0b07b…fc59
0b07b048febf8b62f5eb83a0a8fd751cb4f9bf9d2ce3ff296a4aca4a1993fc59
{
 "confidenceScore": 84,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfe9z5p0053r6w08mt948ww",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.76,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3o00nxr6zobja67tlx",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "BTTS",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.567389,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000194.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "YES"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
YES 56.7% · NO 43.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.