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PREDICTION PROOF™ · winpiq.com/proof/MQ-000195

MQ-000195

Napoli v Como · Serie A · Sun 30 Aug · 16:30 UTC

Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.

Version 1

OU25 · UNDER · 59.0% · confidence 82
בוטל
Fair price
1.69
Market price
—
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
No market price to compare against.
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:46 UTC61004…6b99
61004a223c773a177c0a0168f08986eea78204e74ba61b701ef60f26ed126b99
{
 "confidenceScore": 82,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpivmz00ajr6kheuuxnyr6",
 "edge": null,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": null,
 "modelProbability": 0.590359,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195",
 "previousPredictionId": null,
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:46:01.046Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 41.0% · UNDER 59.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:46Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
not recorded for this prediction
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 2 · previous MQ-000195

OU25 · UNDER · 59.0% · confidence 85 · reason: Market prices added
בוטל
Fair price
1.69
Market price
1.59
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.3 percentage points
Generated
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Published
Fri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordFri 28 Aug · 08:56 UTC87892…af24
878929cbdb19851ddb5309c2c69fe5ef3f5b89018402b42fbf5ce49e1b43af24
{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtcpwjr6012tr60vci2a9xkr",
 "edge": -0.002992,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.59,
 "modelProbability": 0.590358,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-28T08:56:38.254Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 41.0% · UNDER 59.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-28 08:56Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H48_72
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.59
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 3 · previous MQ-000195.v2

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.35
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
11.8 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 16:36 UTCd0b46…3fb5
d0b46a0fe002174bf9ab8307c88e528c505239c5bd4776adfebf624cbe063fb5
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtelrfn100nbl104x7sgzf1y",
 "edge": 0.117964,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.35,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T16:36:00.618Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 16:36Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.35
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 4 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3

OU25 · UNDER · 59.0% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.70
Market price
1.58
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.8 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 18:15 UTC6e1b2…ea39
6e1b24b53dce107fccdf3f3125ea07457f6597b15d10f83f25077c7517c3ea39
{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtepf2cn00ntr6xf5rz7utw9",
 "edge": -0.008034,
 "fairOdds": 1.7,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.58993,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T18:15:09.810Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 41.0% · UNDER 59.0%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 18:15Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.58
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 5 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.35
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
11.8 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 20:48 UTCce76e…26b1
ce76ed2391b66f9188f7130255106fa5e57041e0023e36f161f0e726047526b1
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmteus8ur0053kz04he2guxqz",
 "edge": 0.117964,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.35,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T20:48:46.586Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 20:48Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.35
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 6 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5

OU25 · UNDER · 59.3% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.69
Market price
1.59
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.3 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 21:31 UTC9e41f…a974
9e41fdb3308fbfa3d0683ea2ce7c606a2f3543fe71bc14aa1bd2ff5db683a974
{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtewc3pe009jr6ydejp04nxk",
 "edge": -0.002795,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.59,
 "modelProbability": 0.592625,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T21:31:46.213Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 40.7% · UNDER 59.3%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 21:31Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.59
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 7 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.34
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
11.5 percentage points
Generated
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Published
Sat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSat 29 Aug · 23:11 UTC1a433…7a76
1a43338aba21070a22cd2b01cd19a06788a5dd22ee205bca74b84cbe0cb27a76
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtezvoti005jl804wm69wkni",
 "edge": 0.11542,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.34,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-29T23:11:25.588Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-29 23:11Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.34
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 8 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7

OU25 · UNDER · 59.2% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.69
Market price
1.58
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.5 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 00:09 UTCc298f…5352
c298f03e63313a289a9a0296616df53d3587ad29008e7a829a45cef634265352
{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtf1z1ic009jr6c4esjhduzz",
 "edge": -0.00459,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.58,
 "modelProbability": 0.592349,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T00:09:36.630Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 40.8% · UNDER 59.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 00:09Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H12_24
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.58
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 9 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8

OU25 · OVER · 52.0% · confidence 80 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.92
Market price
2.33
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
11.3 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 04:59 UTCb8f4f…f6eb
b8f4f6e014f6f47d58cb5f37bf90b09015b88399a9c859e22d8c7af96606f6eb
{
 "confidenceScore": 80,
 "dataQualityScore": 35,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfcbntf005bjz04dh6pd8r5",
 "edge": 0.112875,
 "fairOdds": 1.92,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 2.33,
 "modelProbability": 0.52,
 "modelVersion": "mock_v0",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T04:59:45.644Z",
 "selection": "OVER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 52.0% · UNDER 48.0%
Model version
mock_v0
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
none
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 04:59Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
2.33
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 10 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9

OU25 · UNDER · 59.2% · confidence 85 · reason: Model refresh
בוטל
Fair price
1.69
Market price
1.63
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
1.1 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 05:54 UTC516b2…97b1
516b20fb7667ff0988cdd4e60bcb935b42c74885ea8aad9f84653a617c3c97b1
{
 "confidenceScore": 85,
 "dataQualityScore": 50,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfea9mf00a1r6w0f86x25si",
 "edge": 0.011338,
 "fairOdds": 1.69,
 "featureVersion": "f0.1",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.63,
 "modelProbability": 0.592315,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.1",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T05:54:14.951Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 40.8% · UNDER 59.2%
Model version
ens_v0.1
Feature version
f0.1
Calibration version
iso_v1
Calibration scope
not recorded for this prediction
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 05:54Z
Information cutoff
not recorded for this prediction
Data coverage
not recorded for this prediction
Lead time
H6_12
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.63
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

Version 11 · previous MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10

OU25 · UNDER · 57.6% · confidence 91 · reason: Model refresh
החטאה
Fair price
1.74
Market price
1.65
Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
0.1 percentage points
Generated
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Published
Sun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC
Locked
—
Publication recordSun 30 Aug · 12:29 UTC156b2…f626
156b28fec6e705994f60140344bf03547ff60c30d54e3b2e5d5ff3a51a7cf626
{
 "confidenceScore": 91,
 "dataQualityScore": 80,
 "dataSnapshotId": "cmtfsexkc006vr62vr4dx3p2b",
 "edge": 0.001052,
 "fairOdds": 1.74,
 "featureVersion": "f0.3",
 "fixtureId": "cmtcpek3200lrr6zojblsy9y5",
 "generatedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "market": "OU25",
 "marketOdds": 1.65,
 "modelProbability": 0.575794,
 "modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
 "predictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10.v11",
 "previousPredictionId": "MQ-000195.v2.v3.v4.v5.v6.v7.v8.v9.v10",
 "publishedAt": "2026-08-30T12:29:22.549Z",
 "selection": "UNDER"
}

Where this prediction came from

The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.

Probability vector
OVER 42.4% · UNDER 57.6%
Model version
ens_v0.3
Feature version
f0.3
Calibration version
iso_v2
Calibration scope
league
Feature snapshot taken
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Information cutoff
2026-08-30 12:29Z
Data coverage
ADVANCED
Lead time
H1_6
Analysis standard
not recorded for this prediction
Price at lock
1.65
Sources consulted
not yet recorded by this product
Signal policy version
not yet recorded by this product
Segment health at publication
not yet recorded by this product
What this proves

The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.

It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.

WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.

Prediction proof MQ-000195 — Napoli v Como · WinPIQ