MQ-000489
Getafe v La Coruna · La Liga · Sun 13 Sept · 16:30 UTC
Every prediction is sealed with a hash before kick-off, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. Results are graded from the official score; a correction never overwrites silently — the previous state is written to an append-only correction log first, and the record shows it. The sealing time is WinPIQ's own server clock: no outside party has timestamped it.
Version 1
- Fair price
- 2.36
- Market price
- 2.42
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 3 percentage points
- Generated
- Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Published
- Wed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordWed 9 Sept · 18:07 UTCacf45…c4c2
{
"confidenceScore": 73,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtuez7ej00jgr6cbwgn4jk7u",
"edge": 0.030128,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wjaw003cr65vb7e5jh1d",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.42,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000489",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 14:32 UTC78dce…bd50
{
"confidenceScore": 73,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtuez7ej00jgr6cbwgn4jk7u",
"edge": 0.030128,
"fairOdds": 2.36,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wjaw003cr65vb7e5jh1d",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-09T18:07:42.290Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.42,
"modelProbability": 0.423896,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000489",
"previousPredictionId": null,
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T14:32:04.163Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 42.4% · DRAW 28.1% · AWAY 29.5%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-09 18:07Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-09 18:07Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H72_PLUS
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.42
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 2 · previous MQ-000489
- Fair price
- 2.86
- Market price
- 2.43
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 4.2 percentage points
- Generated
- Fri 11 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Published
- Fri 11 Sept · 18:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordFri 11 Sept · 18:09 UTC7e3c3…f11b
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtx9w7mq0072r6xnu3put5zd",
"edge": -0.042303,
"fairOdds": 2.86,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wjaw003cr65vb7e5jh1d",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:09:27.623Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.350173,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000489.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000489",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-11T18:09:27.623Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 14:32 UTC0281c…70a6
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtx9w7mq0072r6xnu3put5zd",
"edge": -0.042303,
"fairOdds": 2.86,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wjaw003cr65vb7e5jh1d",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-11T18:09:27.623Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.43,
"modelProbability": 0.350173,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000489.v2",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000489",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T14:32:04.163Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 35.0% · DRAW 31.1% · AWAY 33.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-11 18:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-11 18:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H24_48
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.43
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
Version 3 · previous MQ-000489.v2
- Fair price
- 2.86
- Market price
- 2.60
- Probability gapWinPIQ's probability minus the market's probability, in percentage points — only where a market price exists. · It's the plain-language size of the disagreement between WinPIQ and the market. · 56% versus 49% is a gap of 7 percentage points. Full definition →
- 1.7 percentage points
- Generated
- Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
- Published
- Sun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC
- Locked
- Sun 13 Sept · 14:32 UTC
- Model artifacts
- 0168d70ef9af
Publication recordSun 13 Sept · 12:09 UTC654d0…37d2
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrveno0022r64k8yqrg76b",
"edge": -0.016724,
"fairOdds": 2.86,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wjaw003cr65vb7e5jh1d",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.6,
"modelProbability": 0.350173,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000489.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000489.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Lock recordSun 13 Sept · 14:32 UTCdf05a…dff9
{
"confidenceScore": 55,
"dataQualityScore": 34,
"dataSnapshotId": "cmtzrveno0022r64k8yqrg76b",
"edge": -0.016724,
"fairOdds": 2.86,
"featureVersion": "f0.3",
"fixtureId": "cmtp8wjaw003cr65vb7e5jh1d",
"generatedAt": "2026-09-13T12:09:42.721Z",
"market": "1X2",
"marketOdds": 2.6,
"modelProbability": 0.350173,
"modelVersion": "ens_v0.3",
"predictionId": "MQ-000489.v3",
"previousPredictionId": "MQ-000489.v2",
"publishedAt": "2026-09-13T14:32:04.163Z",
"selection": "HOME"
}Where this prediction came from
The inputs and versions behind this row, as they stood when it was published. Rows we do not hold are marked rather than hidden.
- Probability vector
- HOME 35.0% · DRAW 31.1% · AWAY 33.9%
- Model version
- ens_v0.3
- Feature version
- f0.3
- Calibration version
- iso_v2
- Calibration scope
- league
- Feature snapshot taken
- 2026-09-13 12:09Z
- Information cutoff
- 2026-09-13 12:09Z
- Data coverage
- ADVANCED
- Lead time
- H1_6
- Analysis standard
- FULL
- Price at lock
- 2.60
- Sources consulted
- not yet recorded by this product
- Signal policy version
- not yet recorded by this product
- Segment health at publication
- not yet recorded by this product
The hash shows this payload is unchanged since it was sealed: recompute it and it matches, or it does not.
It does not show WHEN it was sealed. That timestamp is our own server's, in a table the database refuses to update or delete. No outside party has attested it.
WinPIQ is not affiliated with any gambling operator. All information is analysis and probability estimates only — not advice, and not a promise.